Scenario Planning for Climate and Hazards

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Certification Maintenance
Course Details
Climate change, and its associated disruptions to historical climate and weather patterns on the global, regional, and local scales, poses a particular challenge to prevailing methods of hazard-mitigation planning. Additionally, mitigation planning methods, formalized through a set of federal and state-level policies, legislative requirements, and regulations, are slow to adapt and integrate new and emerging tools and techniques.
This course will demonstrate how planners and local practitioners can use exploratory scenario planning to navigate the inherent uncertainty underlying hazard mitigation in an era of climate disruption, both within and alongside the existing hazard-mitigation planning framework.
Attendees will learn about a process of tactically integrating scenario planning into hazard mitigation plans — using a variety of accessible and straightforward techniques — without the need for complex climate models, big budgets, or advanced planning software.
Learning Outcomes
- Apply tools and techniques from exploratory scenario planning to local mitigation.
- Identify emerging drivers of change and their applications for local adaptation and mitigation-planning practice.
- Explore new methods and techniques to prepare for future uncertainty within mitigation and adaptation planning.